Дербентская стена

четверг, 17 февраля 2011 г.

August 2006

 Part 2 So the August decision by the President and the government, in favor of commodity tycoons will help people get rid of unnecessary and harmful illusions.
A distinctive feature of August was the fact that the president's decision was not taken very clearly and with enthusiasm, and several newspaper even criticisms.
"The Russian business newspaper," "maturing ruble attracts investment" (Sergei Zhuravlev, Doctor of Economics): "Although the peak in capital inflows this year already, seems to be passed. Experts almost guessed it: quite a substantial strengthening of the ruble (6,7 percent in the first 6 months against a basket of foreign currencies and the dollar - nearly 10 per cent) and cheaper imports, as predicted, resulted in the acceleration process the renewal of fixed capital in the industry. "
August 28 "The newspaper published an opinion deputy chairman Alexei Ulyukayev, under the headline," Putin hoot. " "August 25 Alexei Ulyukayev quite independently of the president stood fixed in the" Basic directions of monetary policy in 2007, "Central Bank policies that provide for accelerated compared with the plans for 2006, the ruble down to 10% per year. Ulyukayev unlike the president believes the ruble a lesser evil compared with inflation. "
Just as Ulyukayev, said the majority of Russian citizens who are directly at your wallet feel the heavy tread of inflation, pushing up prices.
"In July, gasoline prices rose faster than inflation (1, 1% vs 0, 7%). The experts spoke about the imminent crisis: just about liter of fuel will cost more than 20 rubles. And the consequences can be disastrous - so, according to opinion poll, About 18% of car owners at this price of fuel would leave their cars in the garage and start to use public transport. For owners of gas stations are losing customers to public transport - an increase in load, in general - the decline of activity. The only advantage - in the cities will be less congestion. But those who want to take advantage of an empty road, will be forced to pay a high price - experts predict a 10% rise in retail gasoline prices in the near future, reported Vedomosti.
"Newspaper", "Gasoline prices have risen by 15% (Irina Kezik, Ivan Schwarz):" In the fight against inflation, the government is becoming more inventive. Yesterday, at the government meeting the head of the MEDT German Gref, was once regarded as the main liberal in the cabinet Ministers announced that the oil companies "have no right to" raise the price of gasoline above the planned level of inflation - that is, more than 9% in 2006. At the same time he suggested that the Ministry of Industry "to meet with oil companies to discuss the situation and make decisions that will ensure control the market. "
August 10 the head of the Federal Antimonopoly Service (FAS) Igor Artemyev has reacted to rising fuel prices, and promised to consider the actions of the Moscow Fuel Association to identify calls for cartel collusion in the market. FAS suspect that oil companies are preparing another price collusion in the market.
August 18 Rossiyskaya Gazeta publishes an article by Elena Lashkina "refill can afford," where she points to the government's inability to curb rising prices. "The main thing the government has not found the lever of pressure on the oil industry, and Anti-Monopoly Service to publicly sign in the inability to charge oil companies in the cartel, since none of the companies has a monopoly position in the market ... When asked Prime Minister Mikhail Fradkov on the market situation petroleum products, Gref said that the topic is actively discussed in the press, and this debate is the objective reasons: firstly, an increase in wholesale prices in July, and, secondly, from the beginning of a rise in prices in foreign markets. "For the price hike in 1992 -octane gasoline to 22 rubles, as predicted, there is no reason, - has summed Gref - I think that this will not happen. "
As always, there are no grounds, but prices are rising. Think anyone can, as he pleases, and no matter how much debated topic of rising prices for gasoline in the press, by itself it is not resolved. And the citizens directly call on the authorities to intervene in the regulation of gasoline prices, knowing that the authorities and so involved in this, but in a latent form, only for himself.
"I do not understand why gasoline prices are not regulated by the state?" - Asks the editor of the newspaper "Arguments and Facts." - "How can the economy minister German Gref said hesitatingly:" To the 92 th cost 22 rubles? .. I think this will not happen. "What the minister admits that possibility, already speaks of a crisis ... I do not understand why the state can not regulate the price of gasoline?" (I. Vasiliev, Tver) ... Spineless authorities is surprising. After all, there in the Russian legislation the term "regulated fares". There is a price list, for which the government has to watch: tariffs for electricity, gas, passenger transportation, telephone service. Why petrol is not included in this list? Include in the list of regulated tariffs petrol prices offered by many officials - said "AIF" in the Federal Service for tariffs - on the sidelines are hotly debated. But it seems the petrol lobby is so strong that this question can not be solved positively .. . "AIF" officially encourages the Government to include the price of gasoline in the list of regulated tariffs. Pay through the nose for fuel in the country, which is the largest supplier of oil - absurd! By the way, in Venezuela, gasoline costs 50 cents per liter (13.5 rubles.), In Iran - 12 cents (3.2 USD).. "
August 22 situation with the rise in prices has decided to comment on Sergey Mironov. As reported to the parliamentary newspaper "," C. Mironov considers it necessary to more stiff opposition from the state unjustified increase in prices for petroleum products. Chairman of Federation Council Sergey Mironov has supported the position of Prime Minister Mikhail Fradkov to curb gasoline prices, made at the Cabinet meeting on Thursday and called on the Federal Antimonopoly Service of the most tightly controlled process of pricing in the oil market. Particularly unacceptable increase in fuel prices ahead of harvest, said the head of the SF and reported that appropriate treatment of the regions have come to the upper chamber.
Since early August, gasoline prices started to climb. In the media have predicted that within a month of gasoline in Russia will cost from 20 to 22 rubles per liter. And to justify this price increase, various "experts" refer to the increase in oil prices on the world market. Chairman of the Union of Oil and Gas Yuri Shafranik openly about the coming increase in retail gasoline prices to 20-22 rubles per liter, unless within six months the oil price will hold at $ 75.
Listening to our experts, we can assume that Russia buys oil on world markets, in itself, by itself, and therefore gasoline prices follow oil prices, as costs increase.
The real reasons for the rise in gasoline prices is: high monopolization of the Russian fuel market and a significant proportion of bureaucratic interests that are included in the price of fuel. Huge bureaucracy and a crowd eager to bite himself on the comfortable existence, from the fuel market, and pays for all the naive Russian consumer.
An increase in gasoline prices has caused among Russian citizens, and genuine interest in the oil industry and to the principles of pricing in this market. Motorists do astonished eyes, and nothing blankly ask: how long, we will increase the price of gasoline, and why, in Russia, the leading country in oil production as high fuel prices? And officials point out to them on the world market and the increasing price of oil. Those who are directly involved in the fuel market, modestly keep silent, and enter, where they order, the above amounts.
You can, of course, surprised such a price increase, and beg the government to restrict this growth, resulting in a lot of arguments in favor of consumers, but to better understand the causes of this phenomenon, and then to choose the tactics of their actions.
Early in the year, at a conference on energy security in Moscow, the head of Russia's largest oil company Lukoil, Vagit very lucidly explained why Russia, ranked second in the world after Saudi Arabia's oil producer and exporter, expects gasoline famine. It turns out that the whole point is that Russia no longer enough refining capacity. Park cars in the country is growing very rapidly. Meanwhile, the construction of new or reconstruction of the old refinery takes an average of seven years.
"If the pace of modernization will remain the same, Russia in 2009 - 2010,. will be faced with the need to import light oil - said then that the head of Lukoil
Over the past six months, no one, and about any reconstruction of the 25 Russian oil refineries and not remembered. State plans of their reconstruction is not available, but they do not improve. And why should the state will invest in private factories?
Most of the existing 25 Russian refineries have been built under Stalin. Five were put into operation until 1940, six - up to 1950, eight - until 1960, and six - after 1960. The most "modern" one was built under Brezhnev - in 1982.
The owners of the same refineries, called Chubais - the locomotives of the Russian economy, nazhivshie their operation billions of dollars, has not built a single refinery. These engines of the economy "aimed at pumping up profits, not on building new facilities, the development of the Russian economy.
So what, and the question of fuel cost, today it is not a simple matter of pricing or violation of market mechanisms of management and question authority, question government policy and the president. And its solution lies in the political transformation, rather than economic.
Everyone understands that after the price of fuel and crawl up the prices of all goods and services. Standard of living of citizens, already on the verge of poverty has reduced Bole, meager allowances to pensions paid in August, evaporate like smoke, and farmers are once again left without profit, which perekochuet into the bottomless pockets of monopolists and bureaucrats.
Here you have the policy of our government, which continues to cheerfully report on the growth of production and the creation of various feeders, such as venture capital fund. Today's production, in favor of monopolists, ruin, and blew on investments in future development. Hypocrisy!
The August rise in prices for petrol, causing many legitimate indignation among the citizens, made even such an ardent liberal, as the marketeers and German Gref, go to the non-market measures, and to encourage oil companies to lower growth in gasoline prices. "Over the past two months growth in prices for petroleum products amounted to 4.3%", - Gref said at a cabinet meeting on Thursday. He recalled that the government has gone to meet the oil industry and passed a law on the differentiation of the severance tax, and therefore they must heed the wishes of the government. It would be worth Gref added that ordinary citizens of Russia, too, want to live and eat, go to their cars of old, that the Bible speaks of mercy and that the rich will not go to heaven, etc. Maybe these words are more acted upon the oil tycoons ?
That is such a market built by our liberal bureaucrats, where the invisible hand, there is a hand official, which he cleverly directs financial flows in the right direction. So, together with increasing gasoline prices, rising incomes and the oil companies, and foreign contributions to officials.
By the end of August, seeing that the growth in gasoline prices takes on political overtones, and officials decided to activate the FAS. Head of Federal Antimonopoly Service Igor Artemyev, decided in the first place to punish those who issue the apocalyptic predictions. That is to punish those who speak, rather than those who do. "The Federal Antimonopoly Service is going to punish the officials and public figures for the apocalyptic predictions about the cost of fuel. Under the new law" On Competition "is to be possible, said yesterday, FAS head Igor Artemyev. This reaction caused him words of the president of the Moscow Fuel Association Eugene Arkush about that gasoline in a month increases of 2 rubles. Experts believe that should be punished and those who are silent about the true state of things. "Izvestia", "forecasts the price - under control" (Fedor Seagull).

 
Federal Antimonopoly Service, which has a purpose that a duty to prevent monopolies and monopolies, and decided that it is more convenient and safer to deal with citizens, there were apocalyptic predictions. There is a refusal to perform their duties and contrived shift towards other objects, not engaging in the subject matter.
Another idea of FAS, which they announced in August and hope to implement, although the effectiveness of this measure is difficult to be believed - is to deny clearance under the parcel service stations in the market dominant companies. Here is how it wrote Vedomosti: "The Federal Antimonopoly Service devised a new way to fight the dictatorship of oil companies in the retail market of motor fuel. It recommended that the region not to give land for gas stations to those companies who already dominate the local market. The effectiveness of This measures the experts do not believe it. According to the "InfoTEK-Consult, Russia has about 22,000 gas stations, about a third of them (7300) belongs to the oil companies and the rest - the independent owners. His gas station is at all Russian oil companies, as well as from BP, Shell, Neste. Most gas stations in Lukoil's (1700), TNK (1000), as well as in Sibneft and Rosneft. The Federal Antimonopoly Service (FAS) intends to initiate the introduction of a legislative ban regions to allocate land the construction of gas stations to companies with dominant market position, said yesterday the head of this department, Igor Artemyev. According to FAS, now in Russia in about 70 regions dominated by companies, occupying more than 50% of retail motor fuel. It is "very similar to the territorial division of markets, which is prohibited by law, "quoted Artemyev AKM.
Even more inflation, and bureaucratic monopoly in the affected housing prices. The problem of growth in property prices, one might say, was the central theme of August.

 
About prices on the real estate market - "Nezavisimaya Gazeta" (Catherine Gurkin): "The continued rise in house prices are increasingly takes the issue from a purely economic sphere in the area of political speculation ... Growth in real estate prices are so strained the situation in the housing market, making it impossible purchase it for the mass consumer that simply could not remain unnoticed by the authorities. "
August 15 an article of Nicholas Vardul in the Gazette, "where the author writes:" Start popping the national project "Affordable Housing", square footage do not want to fall in price as they neither ordered? Politician connects the Prosecutor General's Office. Now let the builders will look for a conspiracy. Against the background of scandals cheated interest-holders winning move. and simple. It is much harder to sort out who the officials behind the monopolistic structure kvartiroproizvodstva for creating minefields of impossibly agreements that do not guarantee that the house will not fall apart, but a hearty feed of the same officials. "
August 17, "Rossiyskaya Gazeta" reported: "The continuing unprecedented rise in housing are interested, finally, the Prosecutor General and the FAS of Russia ... The fact that the state not affect the provision of the proportion of supply and demand in the housing market, has spoken and Federation Council Chairman Sergei Mironov. ... According to a representative of the Antimonopoly Service, the current situation - is a consequence of supply constraints in the housing market. "
August 18, "Moskovsky Komsomolets" puts an article by Elena Egorova, in which there are figures, prompting officials at different levels to discuss the topic of housing prices. "Declared the representative of the Federal Antimonopoly Service, Mikhail Evraevym real price of per square meter of housing in the capital - $ 1300 - shook up the market. And although later the same official said that he called the sum of conditional, as appeared from the analysis of advertisements for the sale of typical apartments in Moscow, Dmitrov , a chain reaction there was no stopping. Stolichnye developers FAS branded a disgrace, and threatened to respond to possible administrative measures to reduce the quantity and quality of constructed housing. And buyers hiding in anticipation of falling prices. Many people believe that the true purpose of the joint attack Prosecutor General and the FAS - an attempt to slow down demand and reduce the insane prices for apartments in one of the most expensive cities in the world. "
First Deputy Mayor of Moscow Vladimir Resin, explained to the city of Moscow, that the rise in price of housing to blame themselves. "The probable cause of rising prices could be steps themselves inhabitants of the megalopolis.

Комментариев нет:

Отправить комментарий