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среда, 9 февраля 2011 г.

Kingdom of Crooked Mirrors

Comparing reality with what is reported in the press and state officials at different levels, will inevitably come to the conclusion that we live in "Kingdom of distorting mirrors. Everything happens just like in the famous tale of Vitaly Gubareva.

   
At the first meeting of his government, Prime Minister Vladimir Putin has found that the searchlights of the Government and the reality does not fit together, and criticized the economic development strategy proposed by the Ministry of Elvira Nabiullina.
"Something investment development we do not smell" - surely he said, apparently hoping to get clarification.

 
Clarification followed.

 
"I looked at what you gave - the growth of a minor. We're talking about the investment development path, but if you look at projections for MERT - something they did not smell our investment development. Seen anybody forecast? They are very modest ", - Putin has called ministers as witnesses.
Ministers silently witnessed the Prime Minister said, but decided not to join in the debate and its variants have not offered, fearing to become milk mushrooms, which kuzovok and climb. And why is something to offer, when ministers and so happy with everything.
And yet, despite the dissatisfaction with the prime minister, Ministry of Economic Development offers were accepted. "It was generally approved an innovative option. In early August, submitted to the Government made its calculations based on projected socio-economic development ", - summed up the meeting the head of the ministry Nabiullina.

    
"Putin is simply nothing to do but to endorse the thesis MED", - the economist of the Department of macroeconomics and quantitative analysis of the IB "Trust" Vladimir Bragin.
One can not but recall the statements of one of the characters in fairy tales aunt Aqsa: - Do not you know that our King himself does not solve anything? He signs that compose the ministers. But ministers have always invent something that is profitable for them. They are only about that and think about how to tighter fill their bags with gold so frighten people.
It seems that for this reason that our ministers and can not cope with rising prices. "The rise in prices - the main problem that does not resolve the outgoing government," - found its chairman Viktor Zubkov. But then he made a decision that will make the fight against inflation is almost impossible: approved increases in tariffs for services of natural monopolies. And this despite the fact that 62% of Russians have called the fight against inflation, the most important task.
Yes, and how you can keep the price when the Finance Ministry and Central Bank adopted policies to strengthen the dollar and the depreciation of the ruble.
"The second consecutive day, the ruble weakened against a basket of currencies: the euro on Thursday, gained 18 cents, while the dollar fell by 0.4 cent. Movement identified positive data from Europe and the beginning of the Central Bank foreign exchange intervention to protect the ruble against speculative attacks, experts say.
On Thursday, the weighted average euro exchange rate following a single trading session, the calculations today rose a penny to $ 18.36 37.04 rubles. In this case, contrary to the usual dollar calculations tomorrow decreased slightly: only 0.39 cent and amounted to 23.85 rubles. Thus, the second consecutive day the ruble depreciates relative to a currency basket consisting of 55% of the dollar and by 45% - of the euro. "
"Central Bank pushed the ruble down on May 15, 14:04 / / Natalia Eremin
ITAR-TASS
"The dollar is increasing again: it added 13 cents due to increased global demand for U.S. currency. Helped by the Russian Ministry of Finance, which to repay dollar-denominated bonds urgently needed $ 3 billion
According to the results of a single trading session, the MICEX calculations of "tomorrow" to 11.30 on May 14 the weighted average dollar exchange rate rose 13 cents to $ 23.85 rate. By 10.30 it had been raised even to 23.87 rubles., 10 cents higher than the estimated support of the dollar by the Bank of Russia, calculated at the basket. "A significant increase in the dollar relative to the level of support CBR is observed on the afternoon of Tuesday, it recorded the first time since March 2008", - said news agency Interfax. The euro exchange rate for "today" has also increased compared with the results of previous auctions, but a 2 cent and amounted to 36.86 rubles per 1 euro.
The Russian Finance Ministry has supported the dollar
May 14 14:31 / / Paul Smorschkov
/ / Comstock / East News

 
As you can see, government officials everywhere talking about the fight against inflation, but at the same time, sign a decree that this spur inflation and, simultaneously calling on people to save more.

 
"His main idea - to persuade the Russians to spend less and save more," - said Deputy Economic Development Minister Andrei Klepach.

                    
"To do this, planned to release the long-term investments in securities and mutual funds from tax revenues and encourage banks to raise rates", - said Andrei Klepach. Citizens of the offer to carry money in banks, which are "legitimate" grounds produce shrinkage and utryasku received. Because all deposits regardless of currency, have shown negative returns, since the April inflation rate was very high (1.4%). As a result, owners of the annual contributions to the ruble lost 0,7%, in dollars - 0,3%, in EUR - 1,37%. Of course, the people who trusted in deposits in U.S. currency, in April, the "lucky" more than others. This is due to the fact that at the end of the month the dollar started to actively strengthen. But if you look at the situation for the year (from May 2007 to April of 2008), the lovers of the "green" were the worst off. Deposits in rubles could not "recapture" of inflation, 5.12%, in euro - 2,6%, while the dollar - all of 14.21%.
Loss-making deposits, however, does not prevent the bankers to write yourself a huge salary and bonuses. As reported by Kommersant »№ 82 (3899) of 16.05.2008:" The head of Sberbank German Gref, pays its employees more Andrei Kazmin. As shown by the quarterly reporting of the Savings Bank, the amount of remuneration of top managers during this period increased by almost 80%. However, growth in bank profits leads analysts to say that these costs were justified.
As stated in the quarterly report with the Securities Savings (published on the banking site), payment of board members in the first quarter of 2008 totaled 76.3 million rubles. That is 77% higher than the same period last year (43.2 million USD .). Compensation for the 20 board members includes wages, monthly and quarterly bonuses. Net profit of the largest bank in the country during the same period by the standards of Russian reporting was 36.1 billion rubles. Which is 39% above the same period of 2007. "

 
Because then there is nothing surprising in such a high level of inflation. "Inflation in Russia from 6 to May 12 amounted to 0,3%, said yesterday, a source in the economic bloc of the government, and since the beginning of the month, consumer prices rose by 0,5%. (Prices in Russia, during the period, rose by exactly as much how much they have grown in Spain for all months in 2008) Thus, from the beginning, the overall inflation total reached the level of 6,8%. For comparison: last year in January-May figure was 4,7%. By the end of this month, independent economists expect prices to range from 1 to 1,5% (last year was 0.6%). Their forecast is based on the fact that May 1 had been "unfrozen" prices for staple foods. Recall that the Ministry of Economic Development earlier this week raised the inflation forecast for 2008 from 9-10 to 9-10,5%. "
Novye Izvestia
May 15, 2008
The dual policy of the government when they say one thing but doing exactly the opposite, confused and journalists who claim surprise, relying on the approval of Cabinet members, that price hike is no reason.

 
"Purchase prices for the products are reduced. Cheaper and imports. However, prices in stores only grow. Processors and traders lament the growth of natural monopolies' tariffs, traders blame the manufacturers - says Natalia Eremin and Suzanne Camara in the article "price hike for no reason."
- Measures to combat inflation by the Government - the freezing of prices for basic food products, export restrictions, lowering tariffs on imported milk and dairy products - to no avail. During the first quarter of 2008, milk and dairy products went up by 6%, bread - na14, 4%, butter - by 5.1%. In April, the price of milk has added another 0.5%, bread - 6,4%, butter - 0,5%.
Government acted in the wrong direction, convinced the producers.
Do not look believable and the arguments that explain the rise in prices rising cost of raw materials on world markets. Russia does not buy grain abroad, and until recently in the production of dairy products has not used imported milk powder. Moreover, in recent years the price of milk in the world markets have ceased to grow. "If the summer of this product came to us at a price of 140 rubles per kilogram, now the price is reduced to 90 rubles. Given the fact that the kilogram of powder is made about 7 liters of milk, dairies have become increasingly bought by powder rather than liquid milk from Russian producers "- in March complained Agriculture Minister Alexei Gordeev. As a result, import growth declined and the purchasing prices for fresh milk in Russian agricultural producers. "
As you can see the Government and the Ministry of Finance not only seek to keep inflation and preserve the accumulated through export revenues of the state, but instead seek to support the dollar, due to the Russian manufacturer, as is clear from the report of the experts from the IMF.
Revenue from the placement of the Reserve Fund, converted into U.S. dollars for the period from January 30 to April 30, 2008, amounted to 0.85 billion dollars. At the same time, losses from the placement of the two funds in foreign currency for a period of three months was a negative value - minus 37.14 billion rubles. "
State Treasury has lost 37.14 billion rubles only three months, but for social purposes, to pensions and benefits to medicine and education money the state still no. And, it seems that in the near future will not be.

 
Ivan Tevrizsky

   
20/05 / 2008

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