Sberbank does not rule out accelerating the fall of the ruble at the end of 2015
«Expert Online» July 20, 2015
Foreign exchange market of the Russian Federation can expect a shock at the end of the year, when the fall of the ruble may exceed the natural rate of decline due to the reduction in oil prices, according to a report prepared by the Center for Macroeconomic Research Sberbank. This was reported by RIA Novosti.
"It is possible shock in the foreign exchange market in the fourth quarter of 2015, when the volatility of the euro-dollar will grow strongly. The fall of the ruble may exceed the natural rate of decline due to the fall in oil prices", - the report says.
According to Minister of Economic Development of the Russian Federation Alexei Ulyukayev, the ruble exchange rate in 2015 will be at the level of 50-60 rubles to the dollar. The head of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation Elvira Nabiullina said in late June that the current exchange rate is close to fundamentally sound value and wait for a considerable weakening of the ruble should not.
Economists predict Sberbank also accelerating capital flight by the end of the year an additional five billion dollars. "Capital flight accelerated for an additional five billion dollars in the fourth quarter of 2015 (but will fall by the same amount in 2016, when the CBR repo return)," - the report says.
Ministry of Economic Development, in turn, sees no reason to reduce the forecast outflow of capital from Russia in 2015 to about $ 90 billion to $ 110 billion.
Central Bank forecasts a net outflow of capital in 2015 at $ 111 billion and a slowdown in the next two years to $ 87 billion in 2016 and $ 80 billion in 2017. When capital flight risk scenario could reach in 2015 131 billion dollars, in 2016 - 89 billion dollars, and in 2017 - 78 billion dollars. Finance Minister Anton Siluanov in June estimated the potential outflow of capital from Russia in 2015 at around $ 80 billion.
07.09.2009 - The ruble is falling, the stronger and speculators profited
Monday, August 17, 2009, 11.14The dollar gained strength and went on the attack on the ruble
You should not be alarmed or distressed on the occasion of today's collapse of the ruble, according to financial analysts. It's all just in the mood of investors, and if nothing more. Under the current behavior of the world's currencies should not be how to build a long-term plans. Whatever it was, as compared to Friday's US dollar exchange rate against the ruble soared immediately by 63 kopecks and reached 32.3 rubles strips. Kursk euro rose to 52.5 cent and stood at 45.6 rubles. Dual currency basket value has also increased by 62 kopecks and amounted to little more than 38,3 rubles.
However, experts say about the current tendency of stabilization of the Russian economy. According to analysts, the end of the year the value of the currency basket will not exceed 40.5 rubles, and the dollar fixed at around 33. Calm same investors will depend on the world prices for "black gold", said «Slon.ru».
Monday, August 24, 2009, 16.54The ruble has again gone to the growth
The dollar is back to that of last week.
The central bank again lowered official rates of major currencies against the Russian ruble. Thus, the dollar exchange rate set by the Central Bank since August 25 fell by 38.99 kopecks, euro - by 31.51 kopecks, said the Bank of Russia. Thus, from August 25 the official exchange rate of 31.5544 rubles, euro - 45.1512 rubles.
All last week, however, the course of world currencies against the Russian continuous growth. In fact, the central bank lowered the exchange rate as long as they own up for Friday.
Similar processes are observed in Ukraine. But what is remarkable in Ukraine understand who benefits from it.
On the race course, speculators make millions of dollars
05-09-2009 (8:36) Bankers "play" with the currency
Currency fluctuations beneficial to bankers who have extra income from this. And in the last collapse of hryvnia economists see political interest. At the weekly fluctuations of the Ukrainian currency speculators to earn tens of millions of dollars. Game currency, when you buy cheaper and sell more expensive, extremely profitable. Bankers earned on such transactions this year is three billion hryvnia. Because only the last two months the dollar has risen in price by twenty percent. The depreciation of the hryvnia on hand and domestic exporters. They marketed their own products for the currency. Therefore, along with the exchange rate jumps are growing and their profits. But in the last collapse of hryvnia economists see yet still significant political interest oligarchs give money to politicians on campaign financing. In the lobby say that not until the party coffers are full, active steps to strengthen the national currency will not be. And it is rumored to happen no earlier than October. Deputies say that for banks and industrial giants is a big business. However, as they say BYT earn oligarchs not only for themselves - the main sponsors of the presidential candidates tend to powerful businessmen. At the same time, other political forces of a direct link between the election and the dollar jumps do not see. Like, in this way cover up BYuT failed economic policies.
"TSN" online edition
UA- Reporter.com
«Expert Online» July 20, 2015
Foreign exchange market of the Russian Federation can expect a shock at the end of the year, when the fall of the ruble may exceed the natural rate of decline due to the reduction in oil prices, according to a report prepared by the Center for Macroeconomic Research Sberbank. This was reported by RIA Novosti.
"It is possible shock in the foreign exchange market in the fourth quarter of 2015, when the volatility of the euro-dollar will grow strongly. The fall of the ruble may exceed the natural rate of decline due to the fall in oil prices", - the report says.
According to Minister of Economic Development of the Russian Federation Alexei Ulyukayev, the ruble exchange rate in 2015 will be at the level of 50-60 rubles to the dollar. The head of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation Elvira Nabiullina said in late June that the current exchange rate is close to fundamentally sound value and wait for a considerable weakening of the ruble should not.
Economists predict Sberbank also accelerating capital flight by the end of the year an additional five billion dollars. "Capital flight accelerated for an additional five billion dollars in the fourth quarter of 2015 (but will fall by the same amount in 2016, when the CBR repo return)," - the report says.
Ministry of Economic Development, in turn, sees no reason to reduce the forecast outflow of capital from Russia in 2015 to about $ 90 billion to $ 110 billion.
Central Bank forecasts a net outflow of capital in 2015 at $ 111 billion and a slowdown in the next two years to $ 87 billion in 2016 and $ 80 billion in 2017. When capital flight risk scenario could reach in 2015 131 billion dollars, in 2016 - 89 billion dollars, and in 2017 - 78 billion dollars. Finance Minister Anton Siluanov in June estimated the potential outflow of capital from Russia in 2015 at around $ 80 billion.
07.09.2009 - The ruble is falling, the stronger and speculators profited
Monday, August 17, 2009, 11.14The dollar gained strength and went on the attack on the ruble
You should not be alarmed or distressed on the occasion of today's collapse of the ruble, according to financial analysts. It's all just in the mood of investors, and if nothing more. Under the current behavior of the world's currencies should not be how to build a long-term plans. Whatever it was, as compared to Friday's US dollar exchange rate against the ruble soared immediately by 63 kopecks and reached 32.3 rubles strips. Kursk euro rose to 52.5 cent and stood at 45.6 rubles. Dual currency basket value has also increased by 62 kopecks and amounted to little more than 38,3 rubles.
However, experts say about the current tendency of stabilization of the Russian economy. According to analysts, the end of the year the value of the currency basket will not exceed 40.5 rubles, and the dollar fixed at around 33. Calm same investors will depend on the world prices for "black gold", said «Slon.ru».
Monday, August 24, 2009, 16.54The ruble has again gone to the growth
The dollar is back to that of last week.
The central bank again lowered official rates of major currencies against the Russian ruble. Thus, the dollar exchange rate set by the Central Bank since August 25 fell by 38.99 kopecks, euro - by 31.51 kopecks, said the Bank of Russia. Thus, from August 25 the official exchange rate of 31.5544 rubles, euro - 45.1512 rubles.
All last week, however, the course of world currencies against the Russian continuous growth. In fact, the central bank lowered the exchange rate as long as they own up for Friday.
Similar processes are observed in Ukraine. But what is remarkable in Ukraine understand who benefits from it.
On the race course, speculators make millions of dollars
05-09-2009 (8:36) Bankers "play" with the currency
Currency fluctuations beneficial to bankers who have extra income from this. And in the last collapse of hryvnia economists see political interest. At the weekly fluctuations of the Ukrainian currency speculators to earn tens of millions of dollars. Game currency, when you buy cheaper and sell more expensive, extremely profitable. Bankers earned on such transactions this year is three billion hryvnia. Because only the last two months the dollar has risen in price by twenty percent. The depreciation of the hryvnia on hand and domestic exporters. They marketed their own products for the currency. Therefore, along with the exchange rate jumps are growing and their profits. But in the last collapse of hryvnia economists see yet still significant political interest oligarchs give money to politicians on campaign financing. In the lobby say that not until the party coffers are full, active steps to strengthen the national currency will not be. And it is rumored to happen no earlier than October. Deputies say that for banks and industrial giants is a big business. However, as they say BYT earn oligarchs not only for themselves - the main sponsors of the presidential candidates tend to powerful businessmen. At the same time, other political forces of a direct link between the election and the dollar jumps do not see. Like, in this way cover up BYuT failed economic policies.
"TSN" online edition
UA- Reporter.com
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