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понедельник, 22 декабря 2014 г.

Everyone stay calm - it is a robbery!

 The dependence of the ruble against the cost of oil on world markets is an indicator of dominant interests of the oligarchy and the conductors of their interests in the structures of government and the Central Bank of the Russian Federation.
Panic population - one of the reasons for the devaluation of the ruble

News Newsland: Panic population - one of the reasons for the devaluation of the Central Bank considered rublyaGlava panic the population of one of the reasons for the devaluation of the ruble.

Excitement about the population of the ruble devaluation has deepened its 4-5 percent. This was announced at a press briefing the chairman of the Bank of Russia Nabiullina, answering the question "Heathcliff!".


She also stressed that the current oil prices the ruble is undervalued by 10-20 percent. "Fundamentally reasonable rate - a rate that is derived from macroeconomic fundamentals (indicators), it does not include non-fundamental factors, including factors such as the hype. We have several models, we expect deviations from the fundamental demand. According to our estimates, now such deviations at the current price of oil ranged from 10 to 20 percent "- leads TASS words Nabiullina.

According to the head of the Bank of Russia, under stress scenarios Central Bank of Russia is ready in 2015 to forward currency transactions of $ 85 billion. Bank stress macroeconomic scenario, according to Nabiullina assumes that the price of oil in the years 2015-2017 will be equal to $ 60 per barrel. However, its implementation is unlikely, says the head of the Bank of Russia.

According to her, even if the crisis scenario of the Russian economy the central bank expects the ruble in 2015 and inflation to the level of output 4 percent in 2017. 2015 Bank forecasts inflation at 8 percent.

At the same time the head of the Bank of Russia emphasized that the slow import substitution under stress scenarios can cause the Russian economy in mild recession. However, in 2017 the Central Bank expect growth above 5 percent. The direct influence of devaluation on the acceleration of inflation may be exhausted in the first half of 2015.

Earlier, the World Bank downgraded the outlook for economic development in Russia in 2015. Updated scenario assumes a reduction of gross domestic product by 0.7 percent. In 2016 expected GDP growth of 0.3 percent. The baseline scenario of the World Bank assumes an average oil price of $ 78 per barrel in 2015 and $ 80 per barrel in 2016.

According to the forecast of Economic Development, Russia's GDP in 2015 will decrease by 0.8 percent. The Central Bank believe that the Russian economy in the next year expects zero growth.  


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