Producer prices for bread and bakery products grow 13.01.2014
Research conducted during the development of a " Business Plan bakery ( with the financial model ) ," showed that the bread and bakery goods are of strategic importance for the citizens are the products of first necessity and neotlagaemogo daily demand. Therefore, the bakery business to society is of utmost importance , and products are constantly in demand in the food market . Supporting this type of activity , the state abolished licensing bakery business and notification procedure introduced its inception .
Market of bread and bakery products is stable , predictable, stable and is competitive - not the economic crisis , or even adverse weather conditions in recent years of drought , which led to a reduction in grain yield virtually no impact on the situation on the Russian market of bread and bakery products . Currently on the market there products companies , 98 % of which are small and medium businesses .
Noticeable trend of the last three years is the growth of average producer prices for all kinds of bread and bakery products . For seven months of 2013 , compared to the same period last year , according to the species of bread and bakery products, they have grown from 17.2% to 18.9%. This facilitates the implementation of new businesses productive activities and market entry . Calculations allow business plan positively assess the need and effectiveness of establishing an enterprise for the production of bread and bakery products .
Copyright Business Plan : Intesco Research Group.
These values are deemed by analysts of Intesco Research Group on the basis of official statistics.
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Painful search for the extreme
Actual ArchiveAll middle of July , government officials , experts and journalists discussed the rise in bread prices , trying to find the extreme in higher prices , and how to deal with it . After all, if something happens , then it is always a reason they thought correctly .And the reason occurring increase in bread prices , there really is . It is even difficult to see. But , for all searches, demonstrating unprecedented zeal , officials , experts and journalists so nothing really never found , and therefore decided to close this uncomfortable topic , get off at the fact that if prices rise, then so it should be . And like all " tried to figure out " reasons assured outraged and indignant ! It came to a showdown with the President . But things there. A bread only more expensive.That is how this order was filed Ural Information Bureau : " In the Urals expensive bread. Despite numerous statements by the federal authorities and the regional leadership of the groundlessness of rising prices for most social product in the Sverdlovsk region since the beginning of the year the cost of bakery products increased on average by 10%. A statement by the Ministry of Agriculture and Regional staff food until the end of the year the bread can rise by another 10% .Very different forecasts announced on the eve of the regional representatives of the Ministry of Trade , catering and services. According to the Head Office of Faith Solovevoj maximum value growth " bricks and loaves " may amount to 3-4%. However, the request " Uralinformbjuro " justify its forecast officials said they did not believe in their predictions , and the situation , for unknown reasons, it is changing every day. Contrived excitement called rising prices for " our daily bread " and the head of the South Urals Agriculture Minister Ivan Feklin . In his opinion , the manufacturers of bakery products , forming 85 % of the cost of production, overcharge selfish motives under the guise of allegedly approaching grain deficit and increasing its value. Price per ton of grain since the beginning of summer, really , rose 100-300 rubles. But stocks in its stabilization fund of the Southern Urals , according I.Feklina enough until the next harvest , which promises to be no worse than last year . Anyway , this year turned a 10% increase in the price of bread in Magnitogorsk. In the capital of the South Ural , likely thanks to the head of the city and " macaroni King" Mikhail Yurevich , bread rose not much - by 5%. It is worth noting that in other regions of the Urals and Russia as its value is constantly increasing. On the eve of election experts put forward the version of the political background of the situation. Rumor has it that the increase in the cost of bread and influenced by rumors about the impending resignation of Agriculture Minister Alexei Gordeev. However, most experts believe that the situation with the increase in grain prices , fuel and utilities bakeries used for the maximum benefit of themselves and uncontrollably . "How do you approach this ? Prices are rising , but it turns out there is no reason to do so . Officials say about groundlessness of rising bread, and thus suggest 3-4% growth. So there , I ask, base or not? Or is it " contrived hype ?" And what kind of anonymous experts who " push version of the political background of the current situation ?" What does it mean politically motivated ? Where is the gray eminence , who, wishing resignation Alexei Gordeev , according to correspondents Ural Information Bureau , ordered everyone to raise prices ? And why everyone decided to obey the gray cardinal , and not common sense ? Explained called. Here there is a clear and logical stupor clinic .Mainstream media discussed rise in bread prices more broadly and in detail , with the involvement of various experts and officials." Almost every day the news channels reported increase in bread prices in a particular region . Whence buzz about bread? - Was wondering Dmitry Rylko of " Vedomosti " , and angrily stated:" For a large part of the electorate topic grain prices is of great importance , more important political issues . "And then he offered readers expert evaluations ."Roots hype (ie not raise prices , but merely hype ) go to world trends . Primary cause I would call higher oil prices . All cost components : grain, flour , fertilizer, diesel fuel - rose 2.5 times. Even when grain prices are not rising , the price of bread is still not falling. for the state is bad because of inflation . population costs for bread to rise by an average of 100 rubles . per month " - commented Alexei Makarkin, deputy director of the Center for Political Technologies .Well what can we take with the spin doctor , parrot commonly used stamps , and yes even a muddlehead . We now everything depends on oil prices . And any hawker can justify higher prices for their products , as a result of rising oil prices . And then add that to the state is bad because of inflation . What is bad because of inflation , whether it will push inflation , or inflation pushes prices , everyone should think through as it is convenient .Another expert , Alex Neustroev , CEO grain trader " Alicor " decided to reduce everything to higher prices for corn, which rises in price in line with inflation ."Just last seriously prices in St. Petersburg - 1.5 times - rose winter 2003-2004 Now Russian grain prices have almost reached the level of prices on the world market , the difference is about 10%. This fact should deter further growth . Generally bread prices rise quite rare, the inflationary potential can accumulate over the years , but in the end higher prices necessarily occurs . "And that is why there is inflation , Alexei Neustroev decided not to extend , apparently believing that it is so clear to everybody.Even more original substantiated rise in bread prices Nikolai Arkhipov, deputy chairman of the Committee for Economic Development, Industrial Policy and Trade of St. Petersburg administration : " In the growth of prices for bread blame trading networks that are monopolies in the food market and dictate their terms to all bakers (conditions of deferred payments , welcome bonus , free delivery of bread , termination of the contract unilaterally .) (All retail chains apparently belong Matvienko ) And the same for flour millers require prepayment , because the deficit in grain and flour imported . needed for this free money and bakers have their not. ( it turns out that millers also monopolists ) within a month selling price of flour has risen from 8 to 12 rubles . per 1 kg. I believe that the price of flour is unfounded - many play on forecasts for crop failure . since 2005 grain prices were not raised and no one thought that this socially significant product . bakers have no benefits, only salary and taxes goes up to 50 % of revenue , and profitability is 1-2 %. "It seems that Nikolai Arkhipov and does not know what the price of bread rose across the country , not only in St. Petersburg .Further confused the issue Golovachyov Victor , president of the Association "Nizhny Novgorod bread ": " We usually under appreciation of grain is higher prices of bread . Though corn directly on the price of bread has no effect (its share in the price of bread is not higher than 20 %) , but it's a good excuse for bakers and retailers to change price tags . risen to the same sensation , I think, blame politics . "So the price of corn affects the price of bread, or not? And what is a tricky policy that allows all to explain ? Clinic also crying.President of the Russian Grain Union Arkady Leonidovich Zlochevskiy decided to put all the blame on the bakers ' bread going up regardless of the grain. I think that bakers use this moment as a handy and raise prices . The average price hike before year-end bakery reaches 20%. But ... prices have never followed the grain situation. Bakers want to improve their financial situation and the price of grain used as an excuse . Today, the price of grain reached 6 thousand rubles per ton. One kilo of bread costs 26 rubles. If grain prices rose by 30% , as it should be reflected in a loaf of bread ? On microscopic quantities - 3%. And it turned out much more. Bakers times had a good life , accumulating " zhirok " when grain prices were cheap . The price of bread rose from 12 rubles . up to 26 rubles . per 1 kg for 7 years . It was 40 cents and 1 dollar now . "The fact that the grain deficit , and therefore there is no flour , and Agriculture Minister said that during the meeting with the President, Alexei Gordeev ."The government has all the tools to keep domestic prices for grain, and consequently - to prevent the growth of prices for bread , I'm sure the Minister of Agriculture of Russia. "The state will be able to keep prices " - assured Gordeev . Certain hopes for a new crop of grain , who hit the previous year. Although grain prices are increasing around the world and in this respect, Russia is part of the common market, the government has all the tools to keep the prices. " The harvesting campaign has just begun, however , the indicators are encouraging, - said the Minister . - It 's tucked away 5.7 million hectares harvested 17 million tons of grain, 5 million more than the same period last year. We assessed the status of cereal crops and it is obvious that sufficient resources , no serious problems . " " That is, the deficit would not be? " - Putin said . Gordeev believes there is no reason to talk about the deficit . " "Rossiyskaya Gazeta" , " Grain - at prices " (Sergey Belov ) .Not become silent and bakers , which many tried so hard to assign extreme . " According to the director of the Stavropol bakery Yuri Dolbneva , 85 percent of enterprise is just bread first grade . And bakers second month bear losses due to increase twice in grain prices . As told Yuri Dolbnya if still worked with plant profitability 6-7 percent , but now - with a loss of 2 percent. According to him, to go to the previous level , Bakeries need to raise prices for socially significant products by about 20 percent. " "Rossiyskaya Gazeta" , "Inflation with a taste of muffins " ( coll. author) .As we see no excess profits , which repeat some journalists and experts , bakers do not get . But bread is more expensive !In all these attempts, determine the reasons for a rise in price of bread, even "Moskovsky Komsomolets" , began to attack the market apologists , that he never allowed himself before trying to encourage the government to administrative action by the assertion that "the bread - it's not a marketable commodity ." "However, the market apologists should remember that in our country bread - it is not primarily a market commodity , and the social component of society as a whole . And the market is sometimes worth to move over to the podium . "Lovers of fine words and beautiful turns of "Moskovsky Komsomolets" , who believe that the bread is not a commodity , would be worth more clearly expressed . Of course, the bread is a special commodity , because of its importance in the diet of the population. It means such a commodity , which reflects the whole essence of our government . But from this it does not cease to be a commodity , which produces and sells as a commodity. And it does not mean that all social responsibility must take those who grow , bakes and sells bread.No need to bring all the statements and estimates for a rise in price of bread , because they can be reduced , without any damage to several points .According to all these statements , the price of bread rose because :1. Increased oil prices ;2 . Increased grain prices ;3 . Monopoly trading networks ;4 . Mercenary motives of Bread ;5 . Expectations low yield ;6. Contrived hype ;7. political ;8. Inflation .Despite the many reasons , none of them does not clarify the real picture, but only distracts from the truth.How , one wonders, rising oil prices , has affected the price of bread in the country ? Yes, no how. We do not buy oil and sell. Accordingly, increased profits of oil companies. Increased foreign exchange reserves in the state. But this is not a reason for rising prices for bread, it is clear to any sensible person . Maybe bakers decided to get the same profit as owners of oil companies ? Then they need to become monopolists. But we do not observe. Any talk of monopoly in the production and marketing of bread, including retail chains , is untenable , as prices rose across the country, and not in a particular city or region. Links that increased grain prices , so do not clarify the situation, and only transfers the problem of rising prices , with one commodity for another .Talk about the selfish desires of Bread , flour and grain , quite naturally , in capitalist production , as well as , to mix this issue psychological factors : excitement , expectations and political motives , it is ridiculous . Especially that grain producers , millers and bakers , as it witnessed the General Director Yuri Dolbneva Stavropol bakery , satisfied little profit. Blame the peasants in the same greed, receiving salaries from 3do 5000 rubles is just ridiculous . They would just show greed , to somehow improve their situation , be patient and not slaves of circumstances, but they are not able to do it.So who is the main culprit of the incident rising bread ? Where hides the villain who has withdrawn from the pockets of the people of such a significant amount of money , so he needed . Pensioners robbed recently . And who unsuccessfully searched but did not find all the experts and journalists. Although , it is not so difficult and calculate . Costs just think , without succumbing to the journalistic ravings , as we shall see immediately who he was. And it turns out that the one who spins the claims inflation and the growth of tariffs on goods and services monopolists. Why is it so helpfully forgot all the experts and journalists looking for extreme growth in the prices of bread , that in the beginning , the government approved developed by the Ministry of Economic Development of the scenario conditions of the economy and limit the growth rates in the medium term until 2010. That they are the next three years is planned sharp increase in the price of gas , electricity and public utilities , which will be three times to outpace inflation and a half times - wage growth .It is in accordance with a plan approved by the government, the price of gas increased by 19% in 2007 , in 2008 to grow by 25 percent in 2009 - still at 27.7 percent in 2010 - at the same rate . That is a total of the price of gas for three years will double . Electricity same scenario in 2008 will grow by 14 percent in 2009 - a further 15 percent in 2010 - by 18 percent. Provided the rise in prices and services Railways .What does the production of grain , flour and baking bread we occurs without the use of gas , electricity and transport? Without equipment , which is also more expensive the growth rates ? Naturally, no . And members of the government were well aware , claiming the growth rates for gas and electricity , they are forced to increase the prices of all those engaged in the manufacturing sector . Including the price of bread . But then it was more important to ensure monopoly profits . And now, when the price of bread went up , make a surprised face and scream about the groundlessness of rising prices for bread, on the selfish interests of producers of bread. For them , it turns out, the vested interests of the monopolies hosts important vested interests of bakers .What is it , when some vested interests dominate over others and do not count the people's interests ? And this is nothing more than the domination of big business over small , which has been repeatedly mentioned in classical political economy . But since we are now on your mind and we can not decree classical political economy , we are all the time and stepping on the same rake , thinking that we have some special way of development .No less important role in the growth of bread prices and inflation plays , which , again, spins the government itself . Who controls the money issue - the Ministry of Finance . And who is subject to the Ministry of Finance - the Prime Minister .It is quite natural that the easier it becomes ruble , the more these rubles to pay for real goods .About who and in whose interests spins inflation , look at the site " Politucheba " article " you hear , we'll repeat » (http://rpr.ur.ru/article/VUMVP.zip).So which side do not come necessarily upreshsya in our government , posing as an innocent child , when it comes to responsibility. Which should be socially responsible in their position , but stubbornly refuses to be. And that is now trying to force someone to be socially responsible whatsoever , except himself , and natural monopolies , which they have provided enormous profits .It seems that this hinted Alexei Gordeev President , saying that the deficit of grain and flour is not, the reasons for rising prices for bread lie in a different plane . In the plane of government policy as a whole and not in the selfish interests of farmers and bakers .
Vitaly Gluhov
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