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вторник, 21 января 2014 г.

As inflation expectations lead to obesity oligarchic


Otuchat citizens of vegetarianismPotatoes, onions and cabbage can be a delicacy for most people due to the soaring pricesSergey Kulikov
 
The sharp rise in price of conventional products for the population requires at least some explanation. But, alas, the authorities heard only vague excuses about " seasonality " and " productivity ." Meanwhile, rapidly becoming more expensive second bread - potatoes , followed by onions and cabbage. And for meat , as noted yesterday, representatives of Rosstat, no spike in prices . Moreover , according to the Federal Antimonopoly Service (FAS ), " objective reasons for the uncontrolled growth of food prices" in the country , too, does not exist. The result - no reasons , and prices are rising .


As noted yesterday, the round table on the theme " Food prices : experts' predictions ," fall in many regions of Russia marked increase in food prices .Since the beginning of potatoes rose by 23% , and by 2014 the cost of a kilogram can reach 25-27 rubles. Purchasing prices for raw milk compared with 2012 increased by more than 25%: the national average liter costs 16 rubles per processor . , In some regions - up to 25 rubles. In the retail respectively more expensive. Moreover, in most regions growth of the price of eggs .As stated yesterday, the deputy head of the Department for Control of chemical industry and agriculture Irina Yepifanova FAS , FAS launched an investigation into the causes of rising prices for eggs in Lipetsk and Ulyanovsk regions , as well as in the Stavropol region . " We'll see , in which prices rise link : wholesale purchases , retailers , but calls Rosptitsesoyuz growth in feed prices by 35% and trade margins " - she said . However, as stressed Yepifanova , this year's " objective reasons for the uncontrolled growth of food prices in Russia no."At the same time, the deputy head of the Office of Finance and Rosstat prices Svetlana Ulanova noted that the average price for Russian so beloved Russians potatoes in October amounted to 21 rubles . per kilo. "Potato is a leader in higher prices not only in the group of fruit and vegetable products , but also in general for all the goods and services that we are seeing within the definition of the consumer price index . It was in October, more than 30 %, " - she explained.In addition , according to Ulanova , a significant increase in prices of onion ( overall increase - 21.6% ) , carrots increased by 15.7%. To a lesser extent , prices for cabbage ( 2.8 % on average in Russia ) . But most importantly - the eggs , which will soon become "not simple, and gold ," as noted Ulanova , describing the situation of rising prices for the product. "Since the beginning of this year, the rise in prices of eggs was more than 16 %, and for the past three months was 35 % more expensive . The national average of a dozen eggs cost 50 rubles, " - she stated . According to Rosstat, the average price of a dozen eggs in October amounted to 50.53 rubles. In Moscow, the figure is 56.6 rubles. , St. Petersburg - 51.8 rubles. Spread across the country is much higher.Meanwhile, the first half of the export of food and agricultural raw materials from Russia decreased by 19.3 % (from 6.35 billion to 5.13 billion dollars). While imports , by contrast, increased by 6 % (from 15.8 billion to 16.8 billion dollars). Country slowly moves to overseas delivery .As the analyst agency " Investkafe " Roman Hrinchenko food market in Russia is largely dependent on the harvest. "As a result of fears losing a large share of the harvest in connection with flooding in some regions of the Russian Federation in advance steel producers to raise prices on their products , - he said. - For example, the rising cost of feed grain has led to an increase in the price of eggs , the cost of which are subject to a 60%. Perhaps in the near future will be a slight increase in prices observed for dairy products and cheeses due to the ban on imports from Lithuania, but at the moment is an ongoing debate about its possible withdrawal , which can slow its growth . "In turn, the deputy director of the analytical department of company "Alpari" Daria Zhelannova notes that producers respond to higher prices persisting inflationary expectations. " Not the last role in the rise in price of some products , and played summer weakening of the ruble - she continues . - Stop the increase in food prices is possible only through administrative measures , which does not acceptable in a market economy model . Moreover, implementing such measures may cause deficiency . "-------------------------------------
 
Actual ArchiveRepetition or again twenty fiveRising prices for food staples has galvanized the country's public power, party leaders , politicians of different rank and there are reasons that do not fit in the pre-election passions and desires of all kinds figures take a cushy job in the State Duma . Inflation in the first nine months of this year was 7.5 %. Clearly that at the end of the year it will be higher than the official 9% last year . Food prices rose , according to Rosstat, the first week in October to 0.5%. Rose more than other foods. Milk has risen in price by seven percent , eggs - six , in some regions of Russia sunflower oil has risen in price by more than twenty percent. As a result of this rise in prices, so far as it presents us Rosstat ( vegetable oil gone up from 30-35 to 70-75 rubles that no it does not fit into the mass 20wackoosnovnaya Russia 's poor became even poorer and all their attempts to escape from vicious circle of poverty again , one touch "invisible" hand of the market , once again were dashed .
Environment in the power again begun agonizing search for the extreme , as it was after rising bread prices . The leader of the party "United Russia " Boris Gryzlov said conspiracy intermediaries in the supply of food , wanting to deflect criticism in the mainstream economic activities and to remove suspicion from the ruling party , which he heads . Alexei Gordeev , accused leaders of ATP strongly dismissed the charges and said that he hoped that the perpetrators are punished. Head of the Antimonopoly Committee threatened Artemyev million fine . Government hastily organized brainstorm and share SFOR conducted bodies that the party itself has called " protest perturbed buyers." In " protest perturbed buyers " was attended by over five hundred supporters of the SPS , as well as party leaders Anton tanks , Boris Nemtsov , Boris Nadezhdin and Maria Gaidar .But what is remarkable , and the government , resulting in a "brain " storm , and activists ATP involved in mindless action , come to a " saving " the conclusion : the need to increase export duties on agricultural products and the reduction of duties on food imports . That's saviors !As told "Interfax" Nemtsov picketers " demanded zero import duties on food , especially imported from the Ukraine and the Baltic States " , in favor of the introduction of " protective duties on Russian grain exports " and called for the resignation of Minister of Agriculture Alexei Gordeev and chief sanitary doctor Gennady Onishchenko. A day later, the government , represented by the receiver Herman Gref Minister of Economic Development Elvira Naibiullinoy , citizens told the results of brainstorming , and they are surprisingly coincided with the requirements of the SPS activists .Agriculture Minister Alexei Gordeev, defending against attacks inveterate Democrats , said that his department is not to blame for the sharp rise in food prices . According to the minister , the real culprits are the reformers , " Posada Russian consumers in the nineties for imported needle ", ie same Democrats now storming hypermarkets . Gordeev this message belongs to the supreme council of the "United Russia " , made ​​at the founding conference of the national agro-industrial association of employers.As you can see , tempers flared not comic . And in this situation , is really important to understand the reasons for the rise in food prices , not trying to blame everything on panicking grandmothers who buy salt, as do mountain economists and political scientists . But first drew attention to the explanations that were recited by responsible officials .Chapter CBR Ignatiev explained surge of inflation rising prices of products: milk, butter , bread. Why are they becoming more expensive , Ignatieff has decided not to explain it. Only monetary policy at anything, he said. And to take extraordinary measures to curb inflation Ignatieff does not intend to .In the fight against inflation the Central Bank may , in particular, raise reserve requirements for banks (FMR ) and the interest rates on deposits , says Lissovolik . But now it would worsen and so unimportant liquidity situation , he said. CB priority now - liquidity, not inflation . On Wednesday, he lowered the odds, and yesterday - bet on currency swaps .Inflation - not the worst compared to the potential problems of the banking system , says Chaikin : " The big difference between 8 % and 10 % [ of rising prices ] not." Really ! Who cares if you get robbed by 8 or 10 %. ? For successful lawyers and perhaps not any difference . But for poor pensioners significant difference . If we consider that the pension they have not increased in line with inflation .Accelerated decline in inflation in the medium term is difficult, admits Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin said in an article published today in the forthcoming issue of the " question of economics ."The main thing that hinders the fight against inflation - the dual problem of the Central Bank , he is responsible for both inflation and exchange rate , complains Kudrin . And he Kudrin, who not long ago argued that the struggle against the ruble appreciation leads to lower inflation , one must understand the Ministry of Finance is working as a cleaner ! And no, the policy does not affect CB .Only , in his opinion , the way to stop the "perpetual motion" of rising prices - " to realize the benefit of anti-inflationary policies of public trust ." What could be more confidence ?" This year the central bank has reduced rates of strengthening effective exchange rate - it will grow no more than 5% , " - thought Kudrin confirmed Ignatiev . Well done ! And apparently commodity tycoons soon rewarded Ignatiev Kudrin medal " for faithful service ."Prime Minister Viktor Zubkov blamed the rise in food prices of Economic Development, is not enough to finance agriculture. "A lot of mistakes were made by your predecessors ," - he said Minister Nabiullina . Over the past seven years, livestock production has increased by 16 %, while food imports - by 3.5 times . "Nabiullina promised to develop a program of state support of agriculture and increase funding for farmers and issued export duties and a reduction in import of agricultural products .In unison of government officials , and also absolutely confident sings CEO of the Institute for Agricultural Market Dmitry Rylko , - "In fact, more expensive food is not the fault of the officials."What are the true reasons for such a rapid rise in prices ? Reasons for mind , so that Ignatieff and Kudrin so stubbornly argue that monetary policy is not to blame. And two reasons . First - it is a crisis of the world financial system , tied to the dollar , which has built so lovingly Kudrin Russian , however , and not assuming that the crisis of the U.S. financial policy is inevitable. It is possible that he does not know it. But here's what I wrote about the August financial crisis Mikhail Khazin site km.ru.

    
" With a total debt of the U.S. economy is 50 trillion dollars ( that is only slightly less than the entire global GDP of around 60 trillion ) and a 10% growth rate of the debt , new debt obtained unsecured . A 10% 50000000000000 - is 5000000000000 . That is, the amount of debt this year increased by 5 trillion , which is about half of the U.S. GDP . And what these 5000000000000 provided? Newly created value ? But U.S. GDP is 70% of the services - which somehow secured debt can not take. And the goods they create around two trillion - that is, more than half of new debts have no collateral at all .
    
And in such a situation it becomes clear picture of the August crisis in financial markets in Europe and the U.S. : when already under secured debts (in our case , mortgage ) become even poorer because of the massive failures of their return , the holders of these debts are in the financial markets persona " notes grata ." They no longer want to lend because it is absolutely clear that their ability to return the money , to put it mildly , limited. But this situation, there's a downside . Someone has obviously excess liquidity, or, simply , the cash in the account. This money should be put somewhere , because inflation accelerating all the time , has not been canceled , and this money , in most cases , are not your own , and others' . That is borrowed , which still need to be repaid , such as paying interest to the depositor of the bank. Or paying insurance compensation to victims . "
The second reason , and it is decisive - it is an internal financial policy, which was clearly shown how to react Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank of the Russian Federation to the crisis . They rushed to save the banks , reducing reserve requirements for banks (FMR ) and the interest rates on deposits and opening them to the Stabilization Fund . Their priority , as they speak openly and not the standard of living of millions of Russian citizens ( what a difference 8 or 10 % inflation), or some farmers , and the provisions of hundreds of bankers . Read: " The priority now CB - liquidity, rather than inflation ."On this occasion, Michael Kazarin site " Politucheba " wrote:

    
" It's about the fact that Russian banks , in their entirety , " goof " because of incompetence (in Newspeak - " unprofessional "). Gained abroad strange alien character value to "serve" our population. Instead of trying to connect with their people home to him ( the population of the Russian Federation ) signs , they also accumulated , cost. In this sweet for yourself fact, gone too far . For even pliant and loyal representatives of the Central Bank, timid and shy so , but still would not recommend them to do so.
    
Bottom line? In the foreign economy ( overseas - ocean) showed their deficiency ( the "mortgage crisis" ) . Began " tidy " ... reclaim their characters as their national collective national welfare . And our home -that bankers, thus, remained - " goal as a falcon ." It turned out that he - not a financial genius of our collective national - national economy, and ... And only - local branch of another financial homeownership us . And that is why he is doing "their" CBR did not listen ...
    
And all this - even though the fact that citizens of their native percentage of " pulls " usurious . Effective interest rate - from the "client" hides . " Debtor " while by the bailiff of his tiny room last drags . In short, do not trade money ( = credit ) in front of us all engaged .
    
But here , fortunately, we (or rather, not " we " as well - they have !) Kudrin in the world there . After all , what, in all this, he told our president? Essentially , for continuation of usury guise of " lending " national of the national economy , the ruble signs banks "now" - more than enough ! ( = " Interbank lending rate " ... " has dropped to 6% .") Holiday , therefore, continues ...
    
And it's - there's more!
    
The question is : Do something where Kudrin ruble mass for all this " holiday " come from?
    
Look , what is the President on this issue from the main financiers of the country heard : " demand for Russian rubles ," we (OH , that is! ) Satisfied because " to implement these operations now allow international reserves ." As you want, but even if the native minister , mother of the economy you DO NOT SHARE with you my high - professional "secrets " ... That is because , the economy - that you both , anyway - ONE ! And how else can then understand his advice given to the President of the Russian Federation, something ... MONEY ON THESE ( again! ) to print . "
That this extra money , put into circulation , to save the bankers , and has become the main cause of rising prices . The law of value has not been canceled . And this law inevitably puts everything in its place. Growth rates for goods and services monopolies , founded three years , and to provide billions in profits to owners of monopolies , as well as credit and financial policy of the government , would inevitably lead to an increase in food prices. Because what Kudrin and shouts - not our fault ... we need more trust . God save us from these guardians of the public good !Most of this predatory policy , inflation in energy prices and the depreciation of the ruble hit farmers who did not receive anything in return , and now they again , the government , together with the leaders of the ATP are trying to bring down to nothing, reducing import duties . Competition for domestic agricultural gut, they cry and need to reduce duties on imported foods, and for the banker 's bad.Naturally, there are objective reasons for the rise in prices. How to crop failure and replacement of wheat crops on industrial crops . But crop failures occur periodically and do not affect so much on the price, so this is not a major factor.
             
Well, what can you expect people from all the fuss and "smart" practices ? Nothing! Listen to what the members of the government say : "In the next two months we will try to stabilize prices ." Stabilize, rather than reduce it. It's done. Revenues and profits recorded . Now you have to calm the people .Remember, as was the case with the increase in bread prices . Throughout the middle of July this year , government officials , experts and journalists discussed the rise in bread prices , trying to find the extreme in higher prices , and how to deal with it . Sorted out ! Bread prices are even higher.If we look further, we can recall the hype surrounding last year's prices. In August 2006 , due to a sharp rise in housing prices and the discontent of citizens, General Prosecutor's Office has decided to intervene and put everything in place. Prosecutor General's Office officials have suggested that all the fault of the builders in collusion , and suggested FAS test this version. Federal Antimonopoly Service ( FAS) has tested the market housing in Moscow, Moscow region and St. Petersburg, and no collusion is not found. At that everything was over .And today there is no reason to think that the demolition with rising food prices completed otherwise .

Ivan Tevrizsky

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