The Economy. Results of 2014
At the end of the year to sum up. And although it is clear that the year was not very good, let the whole thing look at the numbers. It's the economy, in the end, there is no digit can not do.
President, as you know, at the last meeting with members of the government considered it their job "is quite satisfactory." Of course, it is only assumed that the government is responsible for the economy. In fact, responsible here all branches of government.
So here it is - "quite satisfactory" work - on the figures.
GDP. The growth of GDP in 2014 - about 0.4-0.5% - about 7 (!) Times less compared to the forecast, with whom we engage in the outgoing year (+ 3%). And we must remember that the end of the year, the economy has gone into negative (November minus 0.5%), and symbolic plus tenths of a percent, we got it at the end of the year.
Inflation. Instead of the planned 4.8% (this is the rate of inflation was laid out in the federal budget 2014), we will have about 11.5%, and even more. In recent weeks, the weekly inflation rate in 2014 has become almost as high as 1% (!), And with the overclocked inflation in 2015 we are entering the second year.
Capital outflows. Instead, the lack of capital outflows in 2014 we will have a sad record for this indicator - in the region of 140 billion US dollars.
The ruble. I remind you that the average rate in 2014 was 33.4 rubles per US dollar. In fact will be somewhere closer to 40 rubles per US dollar (this is the average annual rate). But the fact that the end of 2014 the dollar will give about 60 rubles - this is in any plans are not included. The Russian ruble depreciated in 2014 almost doubled.
Can lead and other factors, which are also clearly show that 2014 was bad from the standpoint of economic development.
As has happened in Russian history, the most inopportune moment began to fall sharply, world oil prices and the Russian economy "somehow" was still critically dependent on oil exports. And again we heard that this dependence, it turns out, we inherited from the Soviet era.
Well, you know, when after so many years again and again try to blame for their own deficiencies, incompetence and irresponsibility on the precursor - this is beyond the scope of all sorts.
Someone in the comments recently rightly observed: the current leadership of the country has been in power about as much time as passed between the end of the Great Patriotic War and the flight of Yuri Gagarin into space. Bright and persuasive example showing what a jerk the country can make in its development for fifteen years. This is the question of precursors.
Can we boast of such a jerk? - Definitely not.
2014 completes a certain stage in the development of the country as the "oil rain", of course, allowed to do something. But this "something" turned out to be woefully inadequate to the Russians was calm and financially prosperous life in the future. Plus geopolitics, sanctions ... - this is also the watershed.
However, and without falling oil prices, and without sanctions, the Russian economy was in crisis.
For the country's economy in 2014 was certainly unsatisfactory. Although I try to avoid harsh language, this time I do not want to restrain himself: it was a disastrous year for the economy. Yes, it is precisely this: the disastrous in terms of achieving the targets, and neudovletvoritelnyy- in terms of what this year was finally formed the prospect of severe crisis.
And all this - "quite satisfactory" work ?! However, against the background of the coming 2015, may, indeed, in 2014-th - is "flowers" ...
Happy New Year! Let not pessimistic forecasts come true (but this is unlikely :)).
Igor Nikolaev
Source: echo.msk.ru
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