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воскресенье, 13 января 2013 г.

And you are waiting for stability?

 According to forecasts, the price of grain in the spring of 2013 in the stores may rise by about 25% compared with the beginning of 2012, writes on his page of the newspaper "Komsomolskaya Pravda"Contemporary Archive
  
Repetition and again twenty-fiveRising prices for food staples has galvanized people of the country, the government and party officials, politicians of various ranks and there are reasons that do not fit in the pre-election passions and desires of various actors to take a warm place in the State Duma. Inflation, for the nine months of this year was 7.5%. Obviously, the following year it will be higher than the official 9% last year. Food prices rose, according to Rosstat, only for the first week in October to 0.5%. More than any other food products rose. In the price of milk has risen by seven percent, eggs - six, in some regions of Russia sunflower oil rose by more than twenty percent. As a result of this rise in prices, far from it, as it teaches us to Rosstat (vegetable oil rose from 30-35 to 70-75 rubles that no it does not fit into the mass 20wackoosnovnaya Russia's poor become even poorer, and all their attempts to break out of cycle of poverty once again, one movement "invisible" hand of the market, has once again been dashed.


Environment in the power again began agonizing search for the extreme, as it was after the increase in bread prices. The leader of the party "United Russia" Boris Gryzlov spoke about the collusion of intermediaries in the supply of food, wanting to deflect criticism in the mainstream of economic activity and to remove suspicion from the ruling party, which he chaired. Alexei Gordeev, accused leaders of the ATP, strongly dismissed the allegations and said that he hoped that the perpetrators were punished. The Head of the Antimonopoly Committee threatened Artemyev million fine. Government hastily organized brainstorm and share SFOR bodies that the party itself has called "indignant protest customers." In the "indignant protest customers" was attended by over five hundred supporters ATP as well as party leaders Anton Tanks, Boris Nemtsov, Boris Nadezhdin and Masha Gaidar.But, significantly, the government, as a result of "smart", and activists ATP involved in mindless action, come to a "saving" the conclusion that the need to increase export duties on agricultural products and reducing tariffs on food imports. That's saviors!
As told "Interfax" Nemtsov protesters' demand to nullify the import duty on food, especially imported from the Ukraine and the Baltic States ", called for the introduction of" protective duties on Russian grain exports "and called for the resignation of the Minister of Agriculture Alexei Gordeev and Chief Medical Officer Gennady Onishchenko. A day later, the government, represented by the receiver Gref Minister of Economic Development Elvira Naibiullinoy, telling citizens the results of brainstorming, and they are surprisingly coincided with the requirements of the activists of the PCA.Agriculture Minister Alexei Gordeev, defending himself from the attacks inveterate Democrat, said his agency is not to blame for the sharp rise in food prices. According to the minister, the real culprits are the reformers, "planted the Russian consumers in the nineties for imported needle", ie same Democrats now storming hypermarkets. This message Gordeev, part of the Supreme Council of "United Russia", made at the founding congress of the All-Russian agro-industrial association of employers.As we see, passions ran no joke. And in this situation, is really important to understand the reasons for the rise in food prices, not trying to put all the blame on the panicked grandmothers who buy salt, as do mountain economists and political scientists. But first, to pay attention to the explanations that were recited by the responsible officials.The head of the Central Bank Ignatiev explained burst of inflation rising prices of products: milk, butter, bread. Why are they getting more expensive, Ignatieff chose not to explain. Only monetary policy at anything, he said. And take extraordinary measures to curb inflation Ignatieff is not intended.In the fight against inflation the Central Bank may, in particular, to improve the standard of required reserves for banks (CDF) and the interest rates on deposits, said Lissovolik. But now, it would worsen and so unimportant liquidity situation, he said. CB priority now - liquidity, not inflation. On Wednesday, he lowered the odds, and yesterday - the rate of currency swaps.Inflation - not the worst compared to the potential problems of the banking system, said Chaykin: "The big difference between 8% and 10% [price increase] is not." Really! Who cares if you get robbed by 8 or 10%.? Successful lawyers possible and not some difference. But for the poor pensioners significant difference. If we take into account that the pensions they have not increased in line with inflation.Accelerated decline in inflation in the medium term is difficult, admits Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin said in an article published today in the forthcoming issue of "Problems of Economics."The main thing that hinders the fight against inflation - Central Bank of the dual problem: He is responsible for both inflation and the exchange rate, complains Kudrin. And he Kudrin, who not long ago argued that the struggle against the ruble appreciation leads to lower inflation, it is necessary to understand, working in the Ministry of Finance technicals! And nothing on the policy of the Central Bank is not affected.Only, in his view, the way to stop the "perpetual motion" price increases - "implement enjoy public confidence anti-inflationary policy." What could be more confidence?"This year the central bank has reduced the rate of strengthening effective exchange rate - it will grow by no more than 5%," - confirmed Ignatieff thought Kudrin. Well done! And apparently commodity magnates soon rewarded Ignatieff and Kudrin medal "for faithful service."Prime Minister Viktor Zubkov, blamed rising prices for food ministry, not financed agriculture. "A lot of mistakes have been done now by your predecessors," - he said the Minister Nabiullina. Over the past seven years, the production of livestock products increased by 16%, and food imports - by 3.5 times. "Nabiullina promised to develop a program of state support of agriculture and increase funding for farmers, and has given the increase in export duties and the reduction of the import of agricultural products.In unison, the officials of the government, and also absolutely confident singing CEO of the Institute for Agricultural Market Studies Dmitry Rylko, - "In fact, more expensive food is not the fault of the officials."What are the real reasons for the rapid rise in prices? And the reasons in mind, so that Ignatieff and Kudrin so hard to argue that monetary policy is not to blame. And two reasons. First - it is a crisis of the world financial system, tied to the dollar, which has built so lovingly Kudrin Russia, however, and do not assume that the crisis of the U.S. financial policy is inevitable. It is possible that he does not know that. But here's what I wrote about the August financial crisis Mikhail Khazin online km.ru.

    
"With a total debt of the U.S. economy is 50 trillion dollars (which is only slightly less than the entire global GDP of around 60 trillion) and a 10% growth rate of the second debt, new debt obtained unsecured. And 10% of the 50 trillion - a 5 trillion. That is, the amount of debt this year increased by 5 trillion, which is about half of the U.S. GDP. And what these 5000000000000 provided? Newly created value? But the U.S. economy is 70% of the services - which somehow debt security will not take. And the products they create around two trillion - more than half of new debts do not have any collateral.
    
And in such a situation, it becomes clear picture of the August crisis in the financial markets in Europe and the USA, and when already under-long (in this case, the mortgage) are even less well due to the massive failure of their return, the holders of these debts are in the financial markets persona, "notes grata." They are no one else wants to lend, because it is absolutely clear that their ability to return the money, to put it mildly, limited. But this situation, there is another side. Someone has clearly superfluous liquidity, or simply cash in the account. The money is needed to do something with, as inflation, accelerating all the time, has not been canceled, and the money is, in most cases, are not, and others. That is borrowed, which still need to be repaid, such as paying interest to the depositor of the bank. Insurance or paying compensation to victims. "
The second reason, and it is defined - is an internal financial policy, which is clearly reflected in the way the Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank responded to this crisis with Russia. They rushed to rescue banks by reducing statutory reserve requirement for banks (CDF) and the interest rates on deposits and opening them to the Stabilization Fund. Their priority, as they openly say, not the standard of living of millions of Russian citizens (what's the difference of 8 or 10% on average), or some farmers, and the provisions of hundreds of bankers. Read: "The priority now CB - liquidity, not inflation."On this occasion, Michael Kazarin online "Politucheba" wrote:

    
"The thing is that the banks of the Russian Federation, in their entirety," goof "because of incompetence (in Newspeak -" unprofessional "). Gained abroad strange marks another value to "serve" our population. Instead of connecting people with their home to him (the population of Russia) signs, they also accumulated, cost. In it, a sweet reality for himself, gone too far. For, even pliant and loyal representatives of the Central Bank, timid and shy so, but it is NOT recommended that they do so.
    
The result? In the foreign economy (the sea-ocean) showed their deficiency ("mortgage crisis"). Started "tidy" ... reclaim their characters as a national collective national wealth. And our home-is a banker, while still there - "a goal, not a stitch." It turned out that he - not the financial genius of our collective national economy, as well ... and only - the local branch of our foreign financial houses. And that is why he is doing the "" Central Bank did not listen ...
    
And all this - even despite the fact that the native citizens of their percentage of "pulls" usurious. Effective interest rate - from the "client" to conceal. "Debtor" in this case, by the bailiff of the little rooms of his last drag out. In short, do not trade money (= credit) in front of us all engaged.
    
But here, fortunately, we (or rather, not "we", and - they have!) Kudrin in the world there. After all, what, in all this, he told our president? In essence, that to continue usury disguised as "lending" of national economy, the ruble signs that banks "now" - more than enough! (= "Interbank rate" ... "decreased to 6%"). Holiday, therefore, continues ...
    
And it is - there's more!
    
The question is: and then how to Kudrin, the ruble mass for all for this "holiday" come from?
    
Look, what is the president on this issue from the main financiers of the country was, "the demand for Russian rubles," we (OH, that is!) Satisfied because "to carry out these operations now allow foreign exchange reserves." You want, but even if the native minister, you mother of the economy, does not share with you our highly professional "secrets", then ... that in fact, the economy, then you have both, all the same - ONE! How else can we understand his advice, given the President, something that ... MONEY ON THESE (again!) print. "
It is this extra money, put into circulation, to save the bankers, and the main reason for rising prices. The law of value has not been canceled. And this law inevitably puts everything in its place. Growth rates for goods and services monopoly, founded three years, and has provided billions in profits the owners of monopolies, as well as credit and financial policies of the government, would inevitably lead to an increase in food prices. Because what Kudrin and screaming - not our fault ... we need more trust. God save us from these people who talk the people's welfare!Most of such predatory policies, inflation in energy prices and depreciation hit farmers who did not receive anything in return, and now their back, the government, together with the leaders of the ATP, trying to bring down to zero, reducing import duties. For local agricultural competition gut, they cry and need to lower taxes on imported food products, and for the banker's bad.It is natural that there are objective reasons for the rise in prices. How to crop failure and replacement of wheat on industrial crops. But crop failures occur periodically and do not affect so much the price, so this is not the main factor.
             
Well, what can you expect people from all the fuss and "smart"? Nothing! Listen to what the members of the state government: "In the next two months we will try to stabilize prices." Stabilize, not reduce it. It's done. Revenues and profits are locked. Now you have to calm the people.Remember, as was the case with the increase in bread prices. The entire middle of July this year, government officials, experts and journalists discussed the rise in bread prices, trying to find an extreme increase in prices, and how to deal with it. Sorted out! Bread prices are even higher.If you look further, you can remember last year's excitement about housing prices. In August 2006, due to the sharp rise in house prices and the inconvenience of citizens, prosecutors decided to intervene and put everything in its place. Prosecution officials have suggested that to blame the builders in collusion, and proposed FAS test this version. The Federal Antimonopoly Service (FAS) test the market of housing in Moscow, Moscow region and St. Petersburg, and no collusion is not found. On the end of it.And today, there is no reason to think that the fight with rising food prices to end any other way.

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