Net capital outflow from Russia in the I quarter of 2012 totaled $ 35.1 billion 04/04/2012According to Prime, the net capital outflow from Russia by the private sector in the first quarter of 2012, according to preliminary data, the balance of payments amounted to 35.1 billion against a net outflow of $ 19.8 billion during the same period in 2011, according to materials of the Bank of Russia.Central Bank has revised the data on capital outflows in 2011 - previously reported that the figure was 84.2 billion against $ 33.6 billion in 2010. According to the corrected data for 2011 amounted to an outflow of capital 80.5 billion against $ 34.4 billion a year earlier.
The official forecast of the Bank of Russia on the outflow of capital from Russia in 2012 is 10.5 billion dollars, but in January the Central Bank First Deputy Chairman Alexei Ulyukayev said that the regulator expects a zero balance of inflow-outflow of capital for the year.At the same time a much more pessimistic forecast of the Ministry of Finance holds: Evaluation Finance Minister Anton Siluanova, capital outflow from Russia in 2012 could reach nearly $ 40 billion. Earlier, the deputy head of the Ministry of Klepach said the agency "Prime" that the Ministry of Economic Development intends to review in April, an estimate of the net capital outflow from Russia in 2012.A new idea KibalchishThe current archive (origins of the crisis)Today the Russian government can not do two things - withdrawal of funds from the economy and the transfer of funds abroad. How well the government does it, everyone can watch. The volume of Russian gold and currency reserves exceeded the mark of $ 150 billion, is growing Stabilization Fund, an unprecedented rate multiplied oligarchic capital, Moscow is surrounded by a ring of luxury villas bureaucratic, and in other countries, our officials and oligarchs bought up a lot of expensive real estate. As you can see, the government is acting very well. And in vain individual writers and opposition leaders say the current government as inept, and not effective. Very effective if you take into account that the officials and did not promise, and, apparently, did not intend to act in the interests of the people, various writers and opposition. Everything is natural, you just get rid of illusions.Therefore, there is nothing surprising, and in statements by Finance Minister Alexei Kudrin and Chairman of the Russian Audit Chamber Sergei Stepashin on the deployment of the Stabilization Fund in foreign securities. After all, the government evacuated through taxes, monopolies, and fiscal and credit policy of the country's economy money can not disturb government officials, MPs and other personalities involved in the partition of the pie, or wishing to participate in this division.Therefore, in the media and ignite debate about how to use the Stabilization Fund, to send a budget surplus. It can not allow the government to discuss the issue indefinitely. Must be addressed. Only this explains the fact that the presidential administration and government officials continue to work on a program of action for the fall, a program of sterilization bulging of the country's economic resources. However, the State Duma, despite the fact that now sunbathing on the beaches of all kinds, with a sense of accomplishment, vigilantly monitor the state of the money. And the officials during his stay in the State Duma deputies on vacation, not sawed the money without their participation, the vice-speaker of the lower house of parliament and secretary of the General Council of "United Russia", Vyacheslav Volodin (in general, important person) explained to them that "United Russia" intend to take actively involved in the distribution of additional federal revenues during the autumn session.But, as shown, the reality, the officials did not intend to wait for the return of the deputies of the holidays. Why do they need an extra headache? They have already decided on the deployment of the Stabilization Fund in foreign securities. And maybe that's a statement of Vyacheslav Volodin has spurred them to the most rapid action.Having made this statement on July 22, Kudrin and Stepashin made it clear not only lawmakers but also to all who wanted to participate in the division of the Stabilization Fund, who is the boss. And not just the owner and the owner who does not tolerate opposition, no one asks and no one explains nothing. Explanations as Sergei Stepashin, that so do many of the country, more like in the joke.Who would have told him that some Japanese businessmen spend their accumulated capital to charity and go to the monasteries. Maybe he expresses the wish to do so.But that is typical for all participants in these discussions is the inability and the inability to go beyond the proposed issue. They continue to talk about natural rent that does not exist in reality, these funds continue to be called "oil" money. "Some Russian economists inflames conflict over how to divide the surplus" oil "state revenues" - Konstantin Frumkin writes in the newspaper "Izvestia". Only by following this logic, our Russian economists will have to recognize that in addition to the "oil money" we still have "Aluminum", "iron" because steel magnates have not less than oil, and further, "Diamond", "Wood "proceeds from the sale of the forest," military "from the sale of weapons, about which the government holds back modestly. Or even how much money will come up with our writers and economists, if only to obscure the essence of the question?Panelists continue to walk on a given circle, arguing, invest the money in the economy or invest? Of course, we must invest, and invest in the manufacturing sector, the construction of new plants in the development of new technologies, in person. But, before you ask such a question, it would look: and where this money? As a result, the state and the oligarchs have profits, and whether the government is interested in the development of the Russian economy?Those explanations that we hear that these profits - is the result of increased oil prices on world markets, it is natural rent, can satisfy except that ignorant. Although at first glance, it all seems correct. But is it really?And in fact they have not because of Russia's natural resources, although this is the basis, but because of tax incentives for the suppliers of raw materials on world markets by the state, because of low labor costs, due to the higher the degree of exploitation of workers in Russia and not only in the oil industry, and throughout the production. That is all, as are necessary for oil pipes, drilling, machine, and a lot of that for which, in turn, requires coal, metals, wood, and all this constant capital is its value in the final product. And accordingly, the lower the cost of labor, ie wages, the cheaper a ton of oil for the entrepreneur, the more he will profit from the sale of its international markets.Only this income falling by the state in the Stabilization Fund and into the pockets of the oligarchs, is nothing more than the surplus value created by employees of different industries. Profits are not generated by the mines, fields, land or capital, as such, but it allows the owners, that is, to our state, be able to receive the share of surplus value. The state, in turn, strongly inhibits the growth of real wages, creating favorable conditions for the formation of super-profits.Today we can say that in the trading of raw materials in the international market there is no natural rent, which does not exist, and government rent. State ownership of the territory, and accordingly the conditions of labor, which produces oil and other natural resources, where the state has the right to levy taxes, where it has been actively involved in the regulation of wages, and creates opportunities for profits.In fact, today we should not raise the issue of how to sterilize the extracted resources, and how to stop deplete the economy, how to stop the arbitrariness of the officials as to increase the share of wages of employees in GDP, how to create a favorable environment for small and medium-sized businesses, which will decide issues of development and investment for their businesses. And I'm sure that will solve a lot better and more efficiently than government officials and MPs. But as soon as sound proposals to reduce the single social tax, or other ideas, leading to a reduction in revenue center and the oligarchs, from government circles once heard a shout - it is impossible. It's suicide, as recently stated by the First Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Zhukov, Russian members of "Business Russia" to the proposal to reduce the unified social tax to 15 per cent, at least for small businesses.It turns out that if you believe our government, we simply are in a vicious circle. On the one hand, we are told that a lot of money and need to be sterilized, investing in foreign economies, and then claim that taxes can not be reduced because the budget has no money. A budget money, and money received from the sale of raw materials, according to members of the government - it is different the money. That they came up with this game. However, it is different for them, but in reality is the money people, not Kudrin and Economy Minister German Gref, Russia. But even if we accept their position that the "oil money" and that their investments in the Russian economy is like death, then it does not hold water. Imagine that Volodya has a ton of oil, while George thousand dollars, and they decided to make an exchange. As a result of the exchange, George got a ton of oil, and Volodya - a thousand dollars. But after an exchange of Volodya offers to take George had this thousand dollars, as it turns out, he did not need, and give him in return a piece of paper with the obligations of this thousand years back in twenty. The result: George has a ton of oil, and a thousand dollars, and Volodya paper. Now try to guess: why Vladimir was selling oil? And when you consider that oil is a non-renewable natural resource, and dollar bills, and with the commitments can be made always in the right quantity, the behavior of Volodya's no sane person is beyond comprehension. So disastrous for the country is the activity of the central government, which generally protects the interests of the big monopolies and strongly inhibits the growth of real wages of salaried workers, prevents the development of small and medium-sized businesses that can be clearly seen, and by the way the government ordered the bulging of the economy with money, giving large part of the funds for the development of foreign economies. However, to reassure MPs the government has planned for 2006, 72 billion rubles for the formation of an investment fund that will, at that time, no more than 1.5 percent of the state received rents, increased expenditure commitments of the federal budget in 2005 to 382.7 billion rubles which will go to state, by and large, to compensate for inflation, but has provided for our patriotic education of almost half a billion rubles, which will absorb 22 ministries and departments. Apparently, we must admit that with the economy, they understood, and there is not much to fix a sense of patriotism among the people. The government has already spent 115 million rubles for our patriotic education, but, as the authors of this program, "patriotism was not yet fully unifying framework of society." That is, we have not fell out of a comprehensive love for our government. As can be seen, the authors of this venture did not have enough funds in order to achieve the desired result. And now for this purpose decided to allocate significantly more resources to eliminate "certain shortcomings". It does not matter that patriotism, like any love, is an intimate feeling, is not suggestive of interference. Our government, as life shows, so if you take up something, be sure to get results. And a vivid example of this - the government's actions regarding the use of the Stabilization Fund. We decided to invest the Stabilization Fund in foreign securities as early as the time of its creation, as stated by Kudrin, and invested. It is not for the money they extracted from the economy to re-throw them in there.So we, the citizens of the Russians, the other way but to be inflamed with love for power, no. So do not delay and begin to express my love right now. Fly the plane - "thank you" tell the government, the ship sails - "thank you" tell the government, goes the train - "thank you" tell the government, becoming more expensive utilities, "thank you" tell the government, inflation is eating up salary - "thank you" tell the government cut back on work - "thank you" to the government. And do not forget to sing the song of the most important country.Vitaly GLUKHOVThe newspaper "New Planet"Monday,August 29, 2005
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