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вторник, 5 мая 2015 г.

Net capital outflow from Russia in 2014 amounted to $ 151.5 billion

Igor Gerasimov, Gregory NaberezhnovThe outflow of capital from Russia, according to the Central Bank for 2014 exceeded all expectations and has made more than $ 150 billion. At the same time the biggest outflows occurred in the autumn of last year, when in fact closed for the Russian market of foreign capital and introduced new sanctions
Net capital outflow from Russia in 2014, according to the assessment provided by the Central Bank's balance of payments amounted to $ 151.5 billion. In 2013, the figure was $ 61 billion. Thus, the outflow increased by 2.5 times.The maximum capital outflow was observed in the IV quarter of 2014 - the export of capital by the private sector amounted to $ 72.9 billion, which is 4.3 times more than the same period last year - $ 16.9 billion. In I quarter outflow amounted to $ 48.5 billion, in II - $ 22.4 billion in the III - $ 7,7 Bln.

The fact that the net outflow of capital from Russia has accelerated in the autumn, the Economic Development Ministry reported. With such a presentation in November, he made the deputy head of department Alexey Vedev.
In October 2014, the Director of the Department of long-term strategic planning of the Ministry of Finance Maxim Oreshkin predicted that the value of the outflow of capital for the year will be between $ 90-100 billion.
In November 2014 the Central Bank predicted outflow of capital for 2014 in the amount of $ 128 billion. This was discussed in the published "Guidelines for the monetary policy of the Bank of Russia for 2014 and the period 2015-2016." Conditions worsened external financing developments in Ukraine and the introduction of new sanctions. This effectively shut foreign capital markets in the second half of 2014. The outflow of capital took place "in the form of growth of dollarization of deposits and purchase foreign currency in cash population and companies in terms of increased foreign economic uncertainty, and in the form of repayment of external debt of the Russian private sector with limited capacity for its refinancing due to the sanctions", reported the Central Bank.
Russian President Vladimir Putin in late December estimated capital outflows following the results of 2014 in the $ 120-130 billion.  

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